Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 107202.566988 112900.680232 118590.306790 124694.069583 131052.930691 137478.535776 144458.549596
2025-10-19 98040.978143 106773.664064 115728.162318 125585.365132 136120.293995 147030.842548 159173.190341
2025-10-26 91016.490015 101797.995027 113087.731641 125768.586763 139591.873570 154180.297220 170716.839043
2025-11-02 85786.615638 98117.689608 111258.458491 126267.121401 142896.081104 160717.362567 181221.438441
2025-11-09 81162.305190 94680.718384 109310.873204 126266.485411 145319.611621 166011.447322 190123.977833
2025-11-16 78036.410068 92648.561700 108680.330314 127501.069363 148913.184734 172437.070013 200154.679299
2025-11-23 74482.613465 89903.865540 107041.900654 127404.354136 150837.692118 176858.049910 207830.222691
2025-11-30 72412.636199 88721.239244 107056.204419 129076.479826 154678.239764 183376.747404 217844.907107
2025-12-07 70219.526729 87267.117739 106644.496197 130154.617985 157752.915010 188965.002175 226767.618508
2025-12-14 67625.377818 85216.370512 105425.893830 130188.077887 159526.909891 192990.903499 233846.953375
2025-12-21 65459.892308 83578.591451 104605.402927 130608.718481 161687.027854 197417.821154 241367.912760
2025-12-28 64372.984685 83181.305565 105209.585997 132680.921071 165772.311577 204090.342831 251538.963518
2026-01-04 63083.001768 82504.639023 105462.067397 134333.822324 169385.533302 210263.074460 261217.906004
2026-01-11 61468.247063 81368.100475 105108.052977 135214.109414 172048.522980 215307.189150 269582.833942
2026-01-18 59600.207312 79847.932820 104224.399228 135393.908159 173821.734712 219263.583118 276643.748796
2026-01-25 58017.400007 78628.254808 103659.831000 135920.190698 175982.784452 223668.142524 284245.979104
2026-02-01 56271.222388 77141.554729 102709.368362 135918.784992 177456.471970 227216.106983 290804.595347
2026-02-08 55242.806975 76536.090154 102831.129363 137229.961704 180537.714814 232722.008700 299768.731535
2026-02-15 53616.977030 75105.717533 101863.271422 137127.202610 181825.117966 236009.881504 306012.750256
2026-02-22 52923.612278 74865.488942 102389.768439 138903.072313 185461.966625 242203.292009 315866.499675
2026-03-01 51987.917893 74273.776109 102438.257266 140047.973203 188292.771989 247401.548362 324511.237137
2026-03-08 50615.787888 73061.877507 101648.643736 140083.503098 189692.082260 250804.537081 330925.989246
2026-03-15 49480.228459 72133.030268 101197.432485 140530.163113 191597.380908 254834.325529 338133.761622